MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Jake Fraley
TB · RF
Change to
Spencer Jones
NYY · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Spencer Jones.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. Jake Fraley’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Spencer Jones wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); Jake Fraley wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jake Fraley
84.1
Spencer Jones
94.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jake Fraley
21.4%
Spencer Jones
63.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jake Fraley
8.8%
Spencer Jones
5.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jake Fraley
21.9%
Spencer Jones
34.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jake Fraley
9.8%
Spencer Jones
22.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jake Fraley
.277
Spencer Jones
.280
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jake Fraley
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .232
.191
Spencer Jones
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .259
.198

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jake Fraley
54.20
now 2
2
Spencer Jones
54.20
now 0
3
Runshigher is better
Jake Fraley
2016.80
now 6
12
Spencer Jones
2016.80
now 0
0
RBIhigher is better
Jake Fraley
2021.20
now 5
10
Spencer Jones
2021.20
now 3
16
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jake Fraley
.0008
now 3
6
Spencer Jones
.0008
now 1
5
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJake Fraley — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeSpencer Jones — hold.conf 0.50
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