MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COL · LF
Change to
Luis Lara
MIL · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luis Lara.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI and average. Jake McCarthy’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Luis Lara wins 2 categories (RBI, AVG); Jake McCarthy wins 1 (SB); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jake McCarthy
85.5
Luis Lara
89.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jake McCarthy
28.8%
Luis Lara
43.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jake McCarthy
5.2%
Luis Lara
4.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jake McCarthy
38.1%
Luis Lara
24.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jake McCarthy
12.3%
Luis Lara
7.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jake McCarthy
.322
Luis Lara
.307
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jake McCarthy
.230.300
lg AVG .295
now .288
.259
Luis Lara
.230.300
lg AVG .295
now .250
.271

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jake McCarthy
55.60
now 4
0
Luis Lara
55.60
now 0
0
Runshigher is better
Jake McCarthy
2027.60
now 20
4
Luis Lara
2027.60
now 1
4
RBIhigher is better
Jake McCarthy
2034.20
now 25
5
Luis Lara
2034.20
now 2
8
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jake McCarthy
.00014
now 10
2
Luis Lara
.00014
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighJake McCarthy — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.72
Hold · leans sellLuis Lara — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet