Rest of Season Projection
JakobCategorySean
30K →67
3.67ERA ←3.77
1.24WHIP ←1.26
0–0W0–0
3–6SV ←0
Current Season
JakobCategorySean
16K →42
1.75ERA ←5.08
0.78WHIP ←1.46
0W0
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jakob Junis
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.10 is 1.41 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Manaea
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.343 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jakob Junis: 30 K / 3.67 ERA. Sean Manaea: 67 K / 3.77 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).