Rest of Season Projection
JakobCategoryJonny
6HR ←3
43R ←35
21RBI →39
18SB ←12
.213AVG →.249
Current Season
JakobCategoryJonny
3HR ←2
33R ←17
16RBI →19
14SB ←6
.194AVG →.269
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jakob Marsee
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.310)
Jonny DeLuca
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Marsee trails DeLuca in AVG (.211 vs .249) but outpaces him in SB (19 vs 12). The hold on Marsee and sell-high on DeLuca reflect contrasting outlooks.