Rest of Season Projection
JarrenCategoryWilyer
12HR →16
45R ←40
51RBI ←37
16SB ←6
.219AVG →.282
Current Season
JarrenCategoryWilyer
10HR ←6
29R ←26
33RBI ←24
10SB ←4
.219AVG →.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.308)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Wilyer Abreu
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.349, +0.034 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jarren Duran: 12 HR / 45 R. Wilyer Abreu: 16 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).