Rest of Season Projection
JJCategoryTroy
11HR ←8
44R ←38
62RBI ←41
2SB →5
.243AVG →.297
Current Season
JJCategoryTroy
10HR ←2
19R →23
27RBI ←25
1SB →3
.301AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
JJ Bleday
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.399)
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
JJ Bleday: 11 HR / 44 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).