Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryTroy
11HR ←8
43R ←38
34RBI →41
11SB ←5
.236AVG →.295
Current Season
CamCategoryTroy
6HR ←2
26R ←23
21RBI →25
7SB ←3
.218AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Smith
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.348, +0.033 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.399 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.329 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Cam Smith: 11 HR / 43 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).