MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOU · RF
Change to
Portrait of Heriberto Hernández
Heriberto Hernández
MIA · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Heriberto Hernández.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI, steals, and average. Cam Smith’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Heriberto Hernández wins 3 categories (RBI, SB, AVG); Cam Smith wins 2 (HR, R).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Cam Smith
89.5
Heriberto Hernández
92.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Cam Smith
44.5%
Heriberto Hernández
50.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Cam Smith
11.8%
Heriberto Hernández
12.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Cam Smith
29.1%
Heriberto Hernández
24.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Cam Smith
13.7%
Heriberto Hernández
14.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Cam Smith
.335
Heriberto Hernández
.361
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Cam Smith
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .218
.225
Heriberto Hernández
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .206
.245

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Cam Smith
57.20
now 6
5
Heriberto Hernández
57.20
now 3
4
Runshigher is better
Cam Smith
2033.60
now 26
21
Heriberto Hernández
2033.60
now 7
9
RBIhigher is better
Cam Smith
2031
now 21
17
Heriberto Hernández
2031
now 20
27
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Cam Smith
3.808.20
now 7
6
Heriberto Hernández
3.808.20
now 5
7
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCam Smith — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.69
BuyHeriberto Hernández — buy.conf 0.69
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