Rest of Season Projection
HeribertoCategoryTroy
11HR ←8
18R →38
50RBI ←41
13SB ←5
.264AVG →.295
Current Season
HeribertoCategoryTroy
3HR ←2
7R →23
20RBI →25
5SB ←3
.206AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Heriberto Hernández
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.233 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.399 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.329 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Heriberto Hernández: 11 HR / 18 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).