Rest of Season Projection
JoeCategoryJonathan
28K →29
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
JoeCategoryJonathan
16K16
2.04ERA ←4.67
1.13WHIP ←1.15
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joe Mantiply
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.52)
Jonathan Bowlan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.52 sits 1.58 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.316 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Joe Mantiply: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Jonathan Bowlan: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).