MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of John King
John King
MIA · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

John King wins 1 (SV); Justin Sterner wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
John King
90.5
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
John King
11.3%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
John King
20.1%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
John King
34.4%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
John King
36.2%
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
John King
8.6%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
John King
.283
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
John King
2.054.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.52
3.68
Justin Sterner
2.054.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
John King
.9001.45
now 0.72
1.24
Justin Sterner
.9001.45
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
John King
4031.60
now 20
14
Justin Sterner
4031.60
now 26
21
Winshigher is better
John King
.0002.80
now 1
01
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
John King
.0002.40
now 1
01
Justin Sterner
.0002.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighJohn King — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.88
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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