MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tim Hill
Tim Hill
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Justin Sterner.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Sterner wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Tim Hill wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.5
Tim Hill
89.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Tim Hill
7.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Tim Hill
11.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Tim Hill
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Tim Hill
43.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
9.2%
Tim Hill
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.292
Tim Hill
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
3.324.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
Tim Hill
3.324.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.03
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
1.041.31
now 1.11
1.24
Tim Hill
1.041.31
now 1.21
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4032
now 26
21
Tim Hill
4032
now 11
12
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.2003.80
now 2
12
Tim Hill
.2003.80
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTim Hill — hold.conf 0.50
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