Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryJustin
29K →33
3.74ERA ←3.78
1.25WHIP ←1.26
0–0W0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JohnCategoryJustin
13K →18
2.74ERA ←4.61
1.30WHIP ←1.46
0W0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.99 is 2.03 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Justin Bruihl
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.96)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
John Schreiber: 29 K / 3.74 ERA. Justin Bruihl: 33 K / 3.78 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).