MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Justin Bruihl
Justin Bruihl
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Justin Bruihl wins 1 (ERA); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
91.7
Pierce Johnson
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
8.2%
Pierce Johnson
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
15.6%
Pierce Johnson
19.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
29.8%
Pierce Johnson
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
34.8%
Pierce Johnson
37.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
5.7%
Pierce Johnson
10.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
.324
Pierce Johnson
.338
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Bruihl
2.735.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.61
4.21
Pierce Johnson
2.735.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
4.49
WHIPlower is better
Justin Bruihl
1.141.55
now 1.46
1.39
Pierce Johnson
1.141.55
now 1.23
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Bruihl
4028
now 18
0
Pierce Johnson
4028
now 20
0
Winshigher is better
Justin Bruihl
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Pierce Johnson
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellJustin Bruihl — sell.conf 0.66
SellPierce Johnson — sell.conf 0.80
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