MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Bryan Abreu
Bryan Abreu
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Bruihl
Justin Bruihl
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Bryan Abreu wins 1 (ERA); Justin Bruihl wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
95.7
Justin Bruihl
91.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
14.3%
Justin Bruihl
8.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
29.9%
Justin Bruihl
15.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
27.6%
Justin Bruihl
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
41.5%
Justin Bruihl
34.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
6.3%
Justin Bruihl
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
.312
Justin Bruihl
.324
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan Abreu
2.818.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.87
3.97
Justin Bruihl
2.818.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.61
4.20
WHIPlower is better
Bryan Abreu
1.142.27
now 2.02
1.41
Justin Bruihl
1.142.27
now 1.46
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
4032.20
now 23
0
Justin Bruihl
4032.20
now 18
0
Winshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Justin Bruihl
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBryan Abreu — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
SellJustin Bruihl — sell.conf 0.66
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