MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Justin Bruihl
Justin Bruihl
STL · P
Change to
Ryan Johnson
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Justin Bruihl wins 1 (ERA); Ryan Johnson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
91.7
Ryan Johnson
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
8.2%
Ryan Johnson
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
15.6%
Ryan Johnson
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
29.8%
Ryan Johnson
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
34.8%
Ryan Johnson
36.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
5.7%
Ryan Johnson
9.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
.324
Ryan Johnson
.337
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Bruihl
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.61
4.20
Ryan Johnson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 12.83
4.47
WHIPlower is better
Justin Bruihl
.9602.55
now 1.46
1.39
Ryan Johnson
.9602.55
now 2.33
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Bruihl
4025.20
now 18
0
Ryan Johnson
4025.20
now 7
0
Winshigher is better
Justin Bruihl
.000.480
now 0
0–0
Ryan Johnson
.000.480
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellJustin Bruihl — sell.conf 0.66
SellRyan Johnson — sell.conf 0.78
Tweet