MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATH · C
Change to
Portrait of Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLE · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Jonah Heim wins 2 (R, RBI); Patrick Bailey wins 2 (SB, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jonah Heim
87.9
Patrick Bailey
90.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jonah Heim
32.3%
Patrick Bailey
41.5%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jonah Heim
6.5%
Patrick Bailey
6.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jonah Heim
33.8%
Patrick Bailey
31.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jonah Heim
10.8%
Patrick Bailey
13.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jonah Heim
.290
Patrick Bailey
.309
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jonah Heim
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .197
.204
Patrick Bailey
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .147
.225

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jonah Heim
53.20
now 2
0
Patrick Bailey
53.20
now 2
0
Runshigher is better
Jonah Heim
2012.20
now 9
4
Patrick Bailey
2012.20
now 6
2
RBIhigher is better
Jonah Heim
2014.20
now 11
5
Patrick Bailey
2014.20
now 9
3
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jonah Heim
.0003.20
now 0
0
Patrick Bailey
.0003.20
now 2
1
If you already own them — trade angle
SellJonah Heim — sell.conf 0.60
Buy LowPatrick Bailey — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.68
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