MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Portrait of Jonathan Bowlan
Jonathan Bowlan
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyron Guerrero
Tyron Guerrero
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jonathan Bowlan wins 1 (W); Tyron Guerrero wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
97.4
Tyron Guerrero
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
16.9%
Tyron Guerrero
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
31.4%
Tyron Guerrero
28.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
33.5%
Tyron Guerrero
32.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
32.4%
Tyron Guerrero
28.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
4.1%
Tyron Guerrero
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
.244
Tyron Guerrero
.252
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jonathan Bowlan
2.487.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
3.70
Tyron Guerrero
2.487.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jonathan Bowlan
1.011.64
now 1.15
1.24
Tyron Guerrero
1.011.64
now 1.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jonathan Bowlan
4032.80
now 16
17
Tyron Guerrero
4032.80
now 9
26
Winshigher is better
Jonathan Bowlan
.0002.80
now 1
12
Tyron Guerrero
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJonathan Bowlan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.81
Hold · wait & seeTyron Guerrero — hold.conf 0.50
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