MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Portrait of Jonathan Bowlan
Jonathan Bowlan
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Yuki Matsui
Yuki Matsui
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jonathan Bowlan wins 1 (W); Yuki Matsui wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
97.4
Yuki Matsui
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
16.1%
Yuki Matsui
19.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
29.1%
Yuki Matsui
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
33.2%
Yuki Matsui
31.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
33.8%
Yuki Matsui
34.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
4.2%
Yuki Matsui
11.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
.256
Yuki Matsui
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jonathan Bowlan
26.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
3.70
Yuki Matsui
26.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.60
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jonathan Bowlan
.9001.39
now 1.15
1.24
Yuki Matsui
.9001.39
now 0.87
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jonathan Bowlan
4034.60
now 16
20
Yuki Matsui
4034.60
now 15
29
Winshigher is better
Jonathan Bowlan
.0002.80
now 1
12
Yuki Matsui
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJonathan Bowlan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.82
Sell HighYuki Matsui — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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