Rest of Season Projection
JordanCategoryRon
32K →39
3.70ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JordanCategoryRon
15K →25
5.60ERA →4.06
2.09WHIP →1.26
0W →1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jordan Hicks
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.358 elevated and unstable — the 5.60 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.46 is +0.36 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Ron Marinaccio
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.86)
Jordan Hicks: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Ron Marinaccio: 39 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).