Rest of Season Projection
JordanCategorySam
32K →35
3.70ERA →3.64
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JordanCategorySam
15K →29
5.60ERA →2.22
2.09WHIP →1.09
0W →1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jordan Hicks
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.358 elevated and unstable — the 5.60 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.46 is +0.36 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.86 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Jordan Hicks: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Sam Bachman: 35 K / 3.64 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).