Rest of Season Projection
JordanCategoryTim
32K →35
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JordanCategoryTim
15K →26
5.60ERA →3.62
2.09WHIP →0.99
0W →1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jordan Hicks
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.358 elevated and unstable — the 5.60 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.47 is +0.37 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Tim Mayza
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.35)
Jordan Hicks: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Tim Mayza: 35 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).