Rest of Season Projection
JorgeCategorySterlin
4HR ←1
23R ←11
16RBI →22
0SB0
.169AVG →.219
Current Season
JorgeCategorySterlin
1HR ←0
10R ←2
7RBI ←4
0SB0
.170AVG →.194
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jorge Barrosa
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.250 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.207 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Sterlin Thompson
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.279)
Jorge Barrosa: 4 HR / 23 R. Sterlin Thompson: 1 HR / 11 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).