Rest of Season Projection
JoséCategorySterlin
0HR →1
11R11
25RBI ←22
0SB0
.203AVG →.219
Current Season
JoséCategorySterlin
2HR ←0
4R ←2
9RBI ←4
0SB0
.217AVG ←.194
What Each Player's System Trusts
José Fermín
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.303 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.264 is 0.052 below the surface — regression coming
Sterlin Thompson
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.279)
José Fermín: 0 HR / 11 R. Sterlin Thompson: 1 HR / 11 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).