MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Jorge Mateo
Jorge Mateo
TB · SS
Change to
Portrait of Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHI · SS
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jorge Mateo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and steals. Trea Turner’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Jorge Mateo wins 3 categories (R, RBI, SB); Trea Turner wins 2 (HR, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jorge Mateo
88.2
Trea Turner
88.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jorge Mateo
39.2%
Trea Turner
39.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jorge Mateo
8.3%
Trea Turner
6.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jorge Mateo
42.1%
Trea Turner
34.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jorge Mateo
17.4%
Trea Turner
13.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jorge Mateo
.297
Trea Turner
.294
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jorge Mateo
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .316
.209
Trea Turner
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .223
.226

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jorge Mateo
59.80
now 4
0
Trea Turner
59.80
now 7
1
Runshigher is better
Jorge Mateo
2045.20
now 22
8
Trea Turner
2045.20
now 34
6
RBIhigher is better
Jorge Mateo
2025.40
now 11
4
Trea Turner
2025.40
now 19
3
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jorge Mateo
.00014.60
now 7
3
Trea Turner
.00014.60
now 11
2
If you already own them — trade angle
SellJorge Mateo — sell.conf 0.59
SellTrea Turner — sell.conf 0.59
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