Rest of Season Projection
JoseCategoryTy
5HR →9
43R ←30
28RBI →45
11SB ←2
.236AVG →.244
Current Season
JoseCategoryTy
3HR →6
23R ←12
15RBI →18
6SB ←1
.256AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jose Fernandez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse
Ty France
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Jose Fernandez: 5 HR / 43 R. Ty France: 9 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).