Rest of Season Projection
JocCategoryTy
11HR ←9
42R ←30
34RBI →45
0SB →2
.229AVG →.244
Current Season
JocCategoryTy
8HR ←6
23R ←12
19RBI ←18
0SB →1
.240AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joc Pederson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.349, +0.034 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ty France
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Joc Pederson: 11 HR / 42 R. Ty France: 9 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).