Rest of Season Projection
SpencerCategoryTy
10HR ←9
38R ←29
41RBI →43
2SB2
.238AVG →.247
Current Season
SpencerCategoryTy
7HR ←6
24R ←12
26RBI ←18
1SB1
.289AVG ←.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Spencer Horwitz
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.336)
Ty France
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.329 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Spencer Horwitz: 10 HR / 38 R. Ty France: 9 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).