MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATL · DH
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PIT · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dominic Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average. Spencer Horwitz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Dominic Smith wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Spencer Horwitz wins 2 (HR, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Dominic Smith
87.6
Spencer Horwitz
86.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Dominic Smith
35.0%
Spencer Horwitz
34.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Dominic Smith
6.2%
Spencer Horwitz
8.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Dominic Smith
32.3%
Spencer Horwitz
24.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Dominic Smith
10.3%
Spencer Horwitz
6.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Dominic Smith
.314
Spencer Horwitz
.339
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Dominic Smith
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .325
.246
Spencer Horwitz
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .289
.235

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Dominic Smith
58.60
now 5
3
Spencer Horwitz
58.60
now 7
5
Runshigher is better
Dominic Smith
2031.20
now 21
28
Spencer Horwitz
2031.20
now 24
24
RBIhigher is better
Dominic Smith
21.4037.60
now 25
34
Spencer Horwitz
21.4037.60
now 26
26
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Dominic Smith
.0002.20
now 0
0
Spencer Horwitz
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyDominic Smith — hold.conf 0.60
BuySpencer Horwitz — buy.conf 0.65
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