Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategorySpencer
9HR →10
35R →39
35RBI →42
0SB →2
.302AVG ←.240
Current Season
AndrewCategorySpencer
1HR →7
10R →24
10RBI →26
0SB →1
.354AVG ←.289
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.367 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.334 is 0.057 below the surface — regression coming
Spencer Horwitz
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.338)
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 35 R. Spencer Horwitz: 10 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).