Who's more valuable, rest of season
Lucas Giolito.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. José Soriano’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
▶
SV n/a
Lucas Giolito wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); José Soriano wins 1 (K); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Soriano
97.2
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Soriano
14.5%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Soriano
24.9%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Soriano
31.8%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Soriano
37.5%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Soriano
8.0%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Soriano
.321
Lucas Giolito
.357
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Soriano
25.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.72
4.26
Lucas Giolito
25.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
José Soriano
11.95
now 1.21
1.36
Lucas Giolito
11.95
now 1.74
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Soriano
40116.60
now 85
53
Lucas Giolito
40116.60
now 6
25
Winshigher is better
José Soriano
.00010.40
now 6
3–5
Lucas Giolito
.00010.40
now 2
4–8
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellJosé Soriano — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50