MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Josh Smith
TEX · 2B
Change to
Portrait of Nicky Lopez
Nicky Lopez
TEX · 2B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nicky Lopez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average. Josh Smith’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nicky Lopez wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Josh Smith wins 2 (HR, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Josh Smith
87.1
Nicky Lopez
85.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Josh Smith
32.5%
Nicky Lopez
23.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Josh Smith
5.0%
Nicky Lopez
0.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Josh Smith
32.2%
Nicky Lopez
38.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Josh Smith
10.7%
Nicky Lopez
10.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Josh Smith
.284
Nicky Lopez
.263
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Josh Smith
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .217
.218
Nicky Lopez
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .269
.233

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Josh Smith
54.20
now 0
3
Nicky Lopez
54.20
now 1
0
Runshigher is better
Josh Smith
2024
now 6
11
Nicky Lopez
2024
now 3
18
RBIhigher is better
Josh Smith
2024
now 6
11
Nicky Lopez
2024
now 3
18
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Josh Smith
.0005.60
now 2
4
Nicky Lopez
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJosh Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighNicky Lopez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.70
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