Rest of Season Projection
JTCategoryKyle
38K ←32
3.83ERA →3.73
1.28WHIP ←1.29
0–0W →1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
JTCategoryKyle
22K ←16
2.70ERA →1.93
1.30WHIP ←1.54
0W →1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
JT Brubaker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.10 is 2.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Kyle Finnegan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.275 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.14 is 2.26 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
JT Brubaker: 38 K / 3.83 ERA. Kyle Finnegan: 32 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).