Rest of Season Projection
JuanCategorySam
46K ←42
3.71ERA →3.68
1.26WHIP →1.25
1–2W →1–2
3–6SV ←1–3
Current Season
JuanCategorySam
30K ←26
6.00ERA →2.49
1.70WHIP →1.07
1W1
3SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Juan Mejia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.372 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.213 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.34 is 0.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Juan Mejia: 46 K / 3.71 ERA. Sam Moll: 42 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).