Rest of Season Projection
JuniorCategoryTristan
17HR ←11
54R ←28
43RBI →58
0SB →3
.265AVG ←.241
Current Season
JuniorCategoryTristan
14HR ←4
37R ←11
30RBI ←23
0SB →1
.279AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Junior Caminero
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.375, +0.060 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Tristan Gray
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.307)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Junior Caminero: 17 HR / 54 R. Tristan Gray: 11 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).