Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryTristan
15HR ←11
46R ←28
49RBI →58
5SB ←3
.215AVG →.243
Current Season
AustinCategoryTristan
8HR ←4
30R ←11
32RBI ←23
3SB ←1
.209AVG →.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Riley
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.309)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Tristan Gray
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.309)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Austin Riley: 15 HR / 46 R. Tristan Gray: 11 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).