MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Justin Sterner.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Sterner wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Paul Blackburn wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.4
Paul Blackburn
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
16.7%
Paul Blackburn
9.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
25.3%
Paul Blackburn
16.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
36.0%
Paul Blackburn
26.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Paul Blackburn
34.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
7.3%
Paul Blackburn
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.261
Paul Blackburn
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
3.113.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.63
Paul Blackburn
3.113.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
.9801.57
now 1.11
1.24
Paul Blackburn
.9801.57
now 1.44
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4031.60
now 26
26
Paul Blackburn
4031.60
now 16
21
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0005.20
now 2
13
Paul Blackburn
.0005.20
now 2
14

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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