MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Justin Sterner.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Justin Sterner wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.4
Pierce Johnson
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
16.5%
Pierce Johnson
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
24.7%
Pierce Johnson
24.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
35.9%
Pierce Johnson
32.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
44.9%
Pierce Johnson
39.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
7.5%
Pierce Johnson
16.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.263
Pierce Johnson
.387
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
3.053.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.63
Pierce Johnson
3.053.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
1.041.31
now 1.11
1.24
Pierce Johnson
1.041.31
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4033.60
now 26
28
Pierce Johnson
4033.60
now 20
27
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0005.20
now 2
13
Pierce Johnson
.0005.20
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0003.40
now 0
0
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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