MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Scott Barlow
Scott Barlow
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Justin Sterner.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Scott Barlow’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Justin Sterner wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Scott Barlow wins 2 (K, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.3
Scott Barlow
89.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
16.1%
Scott Barlow
13.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
25.0%
Scott Barlow
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
36.7%
Scott Barlow
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
44.7%
Scott Barlow
35.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
6.4%
Scott Barlow
9.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.247
Scott Barlow
.366
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
2.794.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.61
Scott Barlow
2.794.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.08
3.81
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
.9001.37
now 1.11
1.24
Scott Barlow
.9001.37
now 0.99
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4043
now 26
31
Scott Barlow
4043
now 22
37
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0005.20
now 2
14
Scott Barlow
.0005.20
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0007
now 0
0
Scott Barlow
.0007
now 2
15
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeScott Barlow — hold.conf 0.50
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