MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Will Dion
Will Dion
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Will Dion.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Keaton Winn’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Will Dion wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Keaton Winn wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Keaton Winn
96.1
Will Dion
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
11.0%
Will Dion
14.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
19.6%
Will Dion
28.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
27.5%
Will Dion
35.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Keaton Winn
31.8%
Will Dion
31.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Keaton Winn
3.6%
Will Dion
3.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Keaton Winn
.299
Will Dion
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Keaton Winn
27.42
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
Will Dion
27.42
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Keaton Winn
.9002.20
now 0.90
1.25
Will Dion
.9002.20
now 1.83
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Keaton Winn
4029
now 22
14
Will Dion
4029
now 8
23
Winshigher is better
Keaton Winn
.0001.48
now 1
01
Will Dion
.0001.48
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighKeaton Winn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.82
Buy LowWill Dion — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.77
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