MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Kerry Carpenter
DET · RF
Change to
Luis Robert Jr.
NYM · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luis Robert Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Kerry Carpenter’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Luis Robert Jr. wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Kerry Carpenter wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Kerry Carpenter
91.0
Luis Robert Jr.
90.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Kerry Carpenter
49.6%
Luis Robert Jr.
42.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Kerry Carpenter
11.1%
Luis Robert Jr.
2.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Kerry Carpenter
36.0%
Luis Robert Jr.
32.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Kerry Carpenter
15.1%
Luis Robert Jr.
11.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Kerry Carpenter
.315
Luis Robert Jr.
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Kerry Carpenter
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .239
.192
Luis Robert Jr.
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .224
.240

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Kerry Carpenter
510.40
now 7
8
Luis Robert Jr.
510.40
now 2
5
Runshigher is better
Kerry Carpenter
2025.40
now 12
20
Luis Robert Jr.
2025.40
now 10
21
RBIhigher is better
Kerry Carpenter
2040.20
now 19
31
Luis Robert Jr.
2040.20
now 8
17
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Kerry Carpenter
.0005.60
now 0
0
Luis Robert Jr.
.0005.60
now 2
4
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyKerry Carpenter — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeLuis Robert Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
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