Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryLuis
2HR →8
23R →26
31RBI ←21
13SB ←5
.235AVG →.244
Current Season
BrandonCategoryLuis
0HR →2
9R →10
12RBI ←8
5SB ←2
.294AVG ←.224
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Lockridge
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.417 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.048 below the surface — regression coming
Luis Robert Jr.
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.324)
Brandon Lockridge: 2 HR / 23 R. Luis Robert Jr.: 8 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).