Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryTristan
2HR →5
23R →30
31RBI ←23
13SB ←7
.235AVG →.254
Current Season
BrandonCategoryTristan
0HR →2
9R →18
12RBI →14
5SB ←4
.294AVG.295
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Lockridge
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.417 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.048 below the surface — regression coming
Tristan Peters
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.293 is 0.057 below the surface — regression coming
Brandon Lockridge: 2 HR / 23 R. Tristan Peters: 5 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).