Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryCedric
2HR →5
23R →29
31RBI ←24
13SB →15
.235AVG ←.196
Current Season
BrandonCategoryCedric
0HR →3
9R →19
12RBI →16
5SB →10
.294AVG ←.184
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Lockridge
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.417 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.048 below the surface — regression coming
Cedric Mullins
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.260 below league with no luck excuse
Brandon Lockridge: 2 HR / 23 R. Cedric Mullins: 5 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).