MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Kodai Senga
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kodai Senga.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Kyle Leahy’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kodai Senga wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Kyle Leahy wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kodai Senga
96.2
Kyle Leahy
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
13.1%
Kyle Leahy
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
25.3%
Kyle Leahy
19.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
26.7%
Kyle Leahy
26.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
38.9%
Kyle Leahy
50.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
13.3%
Kyle Leahy
10.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kodai Senga
.354
Kyle Leahy
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kodai Senga
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
4.10
Kyle Leahy
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.25
4.85
WHIPlower is better
Kodai Senga
1.042.21
now 1.95
1.30
Kyle Leahy
1.042.21
now 1.56
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kodai Senga
4055.20
now 23
44
Kyle Leahy
4055.20
now 46
39
Winshigher is better
Kodai Senga
.0008.40
now 0
00
Kyle Leahy
.0008.40
now 5
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeKodai Senga — hold.conf 0.55
SellKyle Leahy — sell.conf 0.90
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