MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 17, 2026
Portrait of Connor Prielipp
Connor Prielipp
MIN · P
Change to
Kodai Senga
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kodai Senga.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Connor Prielipp’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kodai Senga wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Connor Prielipp wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
95.4
Kodai Senga
96.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
10.6%
Kodai Senga
13.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
24.1%
Kodai Senga
25.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
30.8%
Kodai Senga
26.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connor Prielipp
39.6%
Kodai Senga
38.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connor Prielipp
9.4%
Kodai Senga
13.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connor Prielipp
.318
Kodai Senga
.348
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connor Prielipp
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.13
4.18
Kodai Senga
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Connor Prielipp
1.042.21
now 1.35
1.33
Kodai Senga
1.042.21
now 1.95
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connor Prielipp
4063.60
now 35
52
Kodai Senga
4063.60
now 23
52
Winshigher is better
Connor Prielipp
.0002.80
now 1
12
Kodai Senga
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowConnor Prielipp — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.83
Hold · wait & seeKodai Senga — hold.conf 0.50
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