MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Connor Prielipp
Connor Prielipp
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Connor Prielipp.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Carmen Mlodzinski’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connor Prielipp wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Carmen Mlodzinski wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.1
Connor Prielipp
95.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.6%
Connor Prielipp
11.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.1%
Connor Prielipp
24.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
29.6%
Connor Prielipp
30.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.8%
Connor Prielipp
42.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.2%
Connor Prielipp
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.342
Connor Prielipp
.313
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.215.68
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.69
Connor Prielipp
3.215.68
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.13
4.11
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.271.49
now 1.42
1.38
Connor Prielipp
1.271.49
now 1.35
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
4060
now 46
11
Connor Prielipp
4060
now 35
12
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.0005.60
now 4
11
Connor Prielipp
.0005.60
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.82
Buy LowConnor Prielipp — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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