Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryZack
94K ←83
3.49ERA →3.22
1.16WHIP →1.13
7–14W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
KyleCategoryZack
61K ←40
1.57ERA ←2.27
1.03WHIP →0.85
6W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Harrison
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.49, 0.61 below league — production is earned
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.22 is 1.00 above the ERA — regression coming
Kyle Harrison: 97 K / 3.48 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 85 K / 3.21 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).