Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryNathan
13HR ←8
32R ←31
23RBI →31
2SB →7
.237AVG.236
Current Season
KyleCategoryNathan
4HR →5
18R18
13RBI →18
1SB →4
.221AVG →.260
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Stowers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.317)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nathan Church
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.283 below league with no luck excuse
Kyle Stowers: 13 HR / 32 R. Nathan Church: 8 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).