MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
PIT · P
Change to
Ryan Gusto
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lake Bachar wins 1 (ERA); Ryan Gusto wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lake Bachar
94.6
Ryan Gusto
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lake Bachar
13.9%
Ryan Gusto
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lake Bachar
25.1%
Ryan Gusto
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lake Bachar
29.0%
Ryan Gusto
31.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lake Bachar
37.3%
Ryan Gusto
45.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lake Bachar
9.3%
Ryan Gusto
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lake Bachar
.295
Ryan Gusto
.324
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lake Bachar
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.61
Ryan Gusto
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Lake Bachar
.9001.93
now 1.01
1.26
Ryan Gusto
.9001.93
now 1.67
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lake Bachar
4043.20
now 32
20
Ryan Gusto
4043.20
now 4
20
Winshigher is better
Lake Bachar
.000.480
now 0
00
Ryan Gusto
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLake Bachar — buy.conf 0.75
Hold · wait & seeRyan Gusto — hold.conf 0.50
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